US Election Polls Results- Biden vs Trump: Who is Leading the 2020 US Election Polls? See how state-by-state polls translate into electoral college votes and use the FT’s interactive calculator to zero in on the battlegrounds
US Election Polls Results
With one day to go before election day on November 3, former vice-president Joe Biden, the Democratic party’s nominee, is polling narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican president Donald Trump in key battleground states, though he has seen his lead narrow in some states since the summer.
In Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, where Mr Trump won by razor thin margins in 2016, polls show Mr Biden leading by more than five percentage points. The race is closer in the crucial state of Florida.
Some of the closest races, though, are in states that Mr Trump won in 2016. North Carolina and Georgia have each voted Republican in nine out of the last 10 presidential elections, but appear to be close contests this year. Similarly close races exist in Ohio and Iowa, both states Barack Obama won in 2012 but where Mr Trump beat Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Other toss-up states include Arizona, a state only one Democratic presidential candidate has won in the past 70 years, and Texas, where Mr Trump’s polling advantage has remained below five percentage points for much of the summer.
Tens of millions of Americans have already cast their ballots through postal and early voting, pointing to a record turnout. In Texas and Hawaii, the the number of ballots cast early was higher than the entire vote tally in 2016, while turnout in key states like Florida and North Carolina was already above 80 per cent of the 2016 total before election day.
National polls show Mr Biden at a significant advantage. White seniors in particular, a group that helped propel Mr Trump to victory in 2016, have shown signs of disapproval towards the president’s handling of the pandemic. Mr Biden holds a substantial lead among Latino voters, a growing demographic in swing states like Arizona and Florida, but some polls suggest he is less popular with Latino voters than either Barack Obama in 2012 or Hillary Clinton in 2016.
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